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March 31, 2022

War, Disease, Economic Agony (And Surging Gas Prices) Will Probably Not Deter Hospitality Sector

Next Week: Toll Brothers VP Jimmie F. Jenkins On Major Trends In Homebuilding And SFR

Already grappling with long-term pandemic-fueled troubles, the travel and hospitality industry finds itself confronting yet another adversary: surging fuel prices.

The sector had managed to claw its way back to a tolerable recovery in 2021 — and 2022 was shaping to look a little more like the days before the coronavirus. Summer vacations to the beach and further afield were anticipated. Business travel was ticking back up with conferences and in-person meetings on the rise.

For a while, things were looking up.

Then Russia invaded Ukraine

Oil prices are now spiking beyond $100 a barrel, driving sharp increases for gas at the pump and for pricy jet fuel — which, if conventional wisdom holds true, will inevitably mean higher costs for U.S. travelers this spring and summer.

So, less travel and another big knock on the hospitality industry? Maybe not.

Travel and hospitality experts told Bisnow this week that they remain optimistic for 2022, citing the fact that bookings are still strong — apparently because last year didn't satisfy Americans' demand for travel. Travelers might adjust their plans a bit this year, but mass cancellations don't seem to be in the cards — yet.

War, Disease, Economic Agony (And Surging Gas Prices) Will Probably Not Deter Hospitality Sector

"As concerns around omicron subside, we see very strong demand for leisure travel in the second quarter this year and beyond, and are expecting the travel market to continue to recover," said Hayley Berg, head of price intelligence at Hopper, a booking service for airlines and hotels.Bookings are still strong now despite gas…

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From Lease Structures To When To Stop Investing: Inside Blackstone’s Logistics Strategy

 

When you've gone really big in a sector, how do you know when to stop? 

Of all the conviction bets Blackstone has made over the past decade, logistics has been the biggest.

The U.S. private equity giant has invested tens of billions in the sector around the world, and reaped the reward, selling or recapitalising platforms and portfolios at huge profits.

At Bisnow’s Industrial & Logistics Transformation event on Tuesday, Blackstone Senior Managing Director Peter Krause talked through the firm’s strategy in the UK and beyond, including views on rental growth, inflation and lease structures, cap rate compression and the key signal to watch as to when to stop investing. Here’s the deep dive.

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